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[translated] Why The Linux Desktop Doesn't Matter Anymore
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Why The Linux Desktop Doesn't Matter Anymore
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The Linux desktop crew is a hardy bunch. Despite it being abundantly evident that the Linux desktop has lost whatever slim chance it once had to be relevant, Linux advocates continue to wring their hands and [say][1], "We kinda already won!... Sort of."
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While it's true to say—and [I've been saying it for years][2]—that Linux [qua][3] Android now reigns as the "desktop" champion, it's equally true that Linux has completely failed as a desktop operating system.
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The reason is pretty simple: Linux has never been easy or useful enough for Valerie.
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### The Best OS For Valerie ###
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Valerie is the lady who cuts my hair, and has done so every six weeks or so for the past 25 years. She's not an early adopter. She's very much part of the mainstream, and [if Valerie is using a technology][4], it's pretty clear that everyone else is, too.
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Valerie recently tried to switch from a Windows machine to a MacBook. Given her interests (photography, primarily), I would have thought a Mac would be a great choice. But she was struggling to figure out how to transfer photos from her Seagate external hard drive to her Mac for editing purposes, and the Mac wasn't recognizing her external drive ([apparently a common issue][5]). The Best Buy employee told her she just needed to format the Seagate drive to make it Mac OS X compatible, and if she did that, everything would go swimmingly.
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Valerie panicked. She didn't like the idea of 32,000 photos being inaccessible, or worse—gone.
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After my hair cut, I tried to help her get set up on her new MacBook. I noticed she had a Netflix app on her Windows laptop, but not on the Mac. On her Mac laptop, she just couldn't figure out how to transfer files, delete applications or do other things that had become natural to her on her Windows machine.
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Now, I'm a hardcore Mac fan with a house full of MacBook Airs and Pros, yet watching her struggle, I ultimately told her to just buy an Asus laptop with a one terabyte hard drive that could allow her to forego using the external hard drive.
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It wasn't a question of which OS was better. It was a question of which OS was better for Valerie.
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### But My Grandmother Can Use Linux! ###
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For most people, most of the time, the answer is Windows or, given the prevalence of iPhones and iPads that seamlessly sync with the Mac OS X experience, the answer is increasingly Mac OS X. The answer is rarely, if ever, Linux.
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Dan Kusnetzky offers a [variety of reasons that Linux never took off in the enterprise][6], but for me, the real audience to analyze is the Valeries of the world.
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Had Valerie been using an iPad or iPhone, she would've had a compelling reason to use a Mac. But she doesn't own any of those things; for cost reasons, Valerie owns an Android smartphone and an Android tablet, which, for her, is mostly used as a glorified movie player. Linux doesn't help Valerie with any of this. It's irrelevant for her needs.
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This is why I find it so baffling when [people argue that Linux is good enough][7]:
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> It was never necessary for Linux to "beat Windows" on the desktop to be successful. What Linux needed to do was provide a viable alternative to Windows and other operating systems on the desktop. And it has done that over and over again for years. Any Windows user who wants to dump Microsoft can do so today, and can move to Linux for his or her computing needs.
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This is so patently untrue that it's breathtaking. Yes, people can get basic computer functions from Linux, and even advanced functionality. What they can't get is an experience that easily blends with other devices or computing experiences they already own.
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### The Web Is The New Linux ###
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Rather than Linux, I suspect the new "desktop" winner will be Google. Not Android, per se, but Google. As [Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols notes][8], Google's Chromebooks have been flying off the shelves as they offer a great, low-cost complement to Google services. I can see Valerie using a Chromebook, because it extends the the Google experience that she already loves into a new (but actually old) form factor. Thanks to Picasa, where she already keeps copies of her photos, she should be all set.
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Linux is irrelevant to Valerie's needs. Not because it can't fill them, but because it forces her to conform to Linux, rather than having it conform to her needs. And guess what? There are billions of Valeries on this earth, people for whom the choice of desktop OS is not a matter of politics but rather of convenience. The Linux desktop is long on the former, and falls short of the latter.
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via: http://readwrite.com/2014/01/23/why-the-linux-desktop-never-mattered#feed=/hack&awesm=~ou6OVYfWhEnIe6
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译者：[译者ID](https://github.com/译者ID) 校对：[校对者ID](https://github.com/校对者ID)
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本文由 [LCTT](https://github.com/LCTT/TranslateProject) 原创翻译，[Linux中国](http://linux.cn/) 荣誉推出
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[1]:http://www.itworld.com/open-source/398428/has-linux-lost-desktop-forever-windows
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[2]:http://readwrite.com/2013/02/04/the-year-of-the-linux-desktop-2012#awesm=~otMxvaN3z0hqn1
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[3]:https://www.google.com/search?q=qua&oq=qua&aqs=chrome..69i57j69i61l2j0l2j69i61.6997j0j7&sourceid=chrome&espv=210&es_sm=91&ie=UTF-8
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[4]:http://news.cnet.com/8301-13505_3-10113244-16.html
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[5]:https://discussions.apple.com/message/12225326#12225326
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[6]:http://www.zdnet.com/why-didnt-linux-win-on-the-desktop-7000024760/
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[7]:http://www.itworld.com/open-source/398428/has-linux-lost-desktop-forever-windows
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[8]:http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9245119/Steven_J._Vaughan_Nichols_The_Windows_killer_Chromebook
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为什么说Linux桌面已经不重要了
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Linux桌面系统是一个难用的集合。尽管已经有非常明显的证据显示，Linux桌面没有任何一丝机会让自己变成主流，那些为Linux辩护的人仍然扭着手[说][1]：“我们已经基本成功了！。。。或者有一点儿 。 ”
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当然，确实可以说(而且[我也已经这么说好些年了][2])Linux[借助][3]Android的身份已经稳坐了“桌面系统”冠军，但这也相当于Linux在桌面操作系统中领域的彻底失败。
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原因很简单：对于瓦莱丽来说，Linux系统从来没有足够简单和有用。
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### 最适合瓦莱丽的操作系统 ###
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瓦莱丽是一位女士，25年来她每六个星期替我剪一次头发。她不是什么技术的早期使用者，而是当前主流大众的一个，而且[如果瓦莱丽在用某项技术][4]，那么基本上表明所有其他人已经在用了。
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瓦莱丽最近在试着从Windows电脑切换到MacBook。按照她地兴趣（主要是摄影），我曾经觉得一台Mac会是非常棒的选择。但是，她却在挣扎着想要搞明白怎么导入她保存在希捷移动硬盘上的相片用于编辑，因为Mac不能正常识别她的移动硬盘（[似乎是个普遍问题][5]）。百思买客服的建议是，她需要格式化她的希捷硬盘来让Mac OS X兼容。如果她那么做的话，那她所有的数据也就没了。
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瓦莱丽被吓到了，她可不想32,000张图片不能用，甚至更悲剧－没了。
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在我剪完头发后，我试着帮他设定她的新MacBook。我注意到她的Windows笔记本上装了Netflix应用，但是在Mac上却没有。原来，在Mac笔记本上，她不知道怎么处理转移文件、删除程序、或者其他什么事情，这些她已经能很自然地在Windows电脑上完成的事情。
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现在，我作为一个绝对的Mac粉丝，拥有满屋子的MacBook Air和MacBook Pro。但是看到她在Mac上的痛苦，我最终还是建议她去买一个内置1TB硬盘的华硕笔记本，这样她就可以不再用那个移动硬盘了。
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所以，问题不是哪个操作系统比较好，问题是哪个操作系统更适合瓦莱丽。
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### 但是我奶奶会用Linux！ ###
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对大多数人来说，大多数情况下，答案是Windows。或者，随着iPhone和iPad的流行，因为可以和Mac OS X完美地同步数据，选择Mac OS X的人也渐渐多起来。但是，很少会有人的答案是Linux。
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丹.库斯尼茨基提供了非常多的[Linux永远不会在企业中流行的原因][6]，但是对于我来说，分析的真正对象是世界上的所有“瓦莱丽”。
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假如瓦莱丽用的是iPad或者iPhone，那她就有非常足够的理由来使用Mac。但是她没有，因为价格因素，她拥有Android智能手机和Android平板。而且，这些设备大多数时候被她用作一个漂亮的电影播放器。对于瓦莱丽的这些需求，Linux没有任何帮助，也没有任何联系。
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所以，当[人们争论说Linux已经足够好了][7]的时候，我会觉得莫名其妙：
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> 对于Linux来说，它完全没有必要在桌面系统中去“击败Windows”来获得成功。它需要的是是提供一个切实可行的Windows或者其他桌面系统的替代品。而且它已经反复这么做很多年了。如今，任何想要抛弃微软的Windows用户，都可以切换到Linux来满足自己的计算需求。
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这很明显不是真的，简直让人透不过气来。是的，人们可以从Linux那里得到基础的计算功能，甚至高级功能。但是，他们却不能从手上已有的设备或者体验中平滑地过渡。
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### 网络是新的Linux ###
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比起Linux，我更觉得新的“桌面系统”赢家会是Google。不是Android，而是Google本身。就像[史蒂文 J. 沃恩尼克尔斯][8]提到的，Google的Chromebook已经飞快地被买走，因为它提供了优秀廉价的Google服务。我看到瓦莱丽在用Chromebook，因为它将她喜爱的Google体验扩展到一个新（实际上不那么新）的形式上。感谢Picasa，她已经用来保存相片的副本，她不用再烦恼了。
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Linux和瓦莱丽的需求完全无关，不是说实现不了，而是因为Linux要求瓦莱丽去适应它，而不是它去适应瓦莱丽的需求。所以你看，这个世界上有成千上万的“瓦莱丽”，他们选择桌面系统不是阵营问题，而更多的是方便性。而Linux桌面在前一个方面做得太多了，没有考虑后面。
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via: http://readwrite.com/2014/01/23/why-the-linux-desktop-never-mattered#feed=/hack&awesm=~ou6OVYfWhEnIe6
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译者：[zpl1025](https://github.com/zpl1025) 校对：[校对者ID](https://github.com/校对者ID)
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本文由 [LCTT](https://github.com/LCTT/TranslateProject) 原创翻译，[Linux中国](http://linux.cn/) 荣誉推出
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[1]:http://www.itworld.com/open-source/398428/has-linux-lost-desktop-forever-windows
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[2]:http://readwrite.com/2013/02/04/the-year-of-the-linux-desktop-2012#awesm=~otMxvaN3z0hqn1
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[3]:https://www.google.com/search?q=qua&oq=qua&aqs=chrome..69i57j69i61l2j0l2j69i61.6997j0j7&sourceid=chrome&espv=210&es_sm=91&ie=UTF-8
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[4]:http://news.cnet.com/8301-13505_3-10113244-16.html
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[5]:https://discussions.apple.com/message/12225326#12225326
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[6]:http://www.zdnet.com/why-didnt-linux-win-on-the-desktop-7000024760/
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[7]:http://www.itworld.com/open-source/398428/has-linux-lost-desktop-forever-windows
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[8]:http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9245119/Steven_J._Vaughan_Nichols_The_Windows_killer_Chromebook
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